Epidemiological Transition and Forecasting of Diabetes Burden in Saudi Arabia: A Comprehensive Analysis From the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2023
March 2026
in “
Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism
”
TLDR Diabetes rates in Saudi Arabia are rising, especially Type 2, with more men affected, and will continue to increase by 2030.
The study examines the diabetes epidemic in Saudi Arabia, noting a 117.3% increase in age-standardized diabetes prevalence from 1990 to 2023, with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) being the most prevalent. There is a significant male predominance in diabetes rates due to higher obesity, reduced physical activity, and smoking among men. The research predicts an 18% increase in diabetes prevalence by 2030, with T2DM reaching 27,022 per 100,000. Although diabetes-related mortality is expected to decline, the burden of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) will rise, indicating a shift towards chronic disability. The study calls for targeted screening, early prevention, and health system reforms to address the increasing diabetes burden.